Lognormal Distribution Calculator

Compute PDF, CDF, percentiles, and moments for the lognormal distribution with interactive density curve, percentile table, and properties reference.

About the Lognormal Distribution Calculator

The lognormal distribution calculator computes probabilities, percentiles, and statistical properties for the lognormal distribution — a continuous distribution whose logarithm is normally distributed. If X is lognormal with parameters μ and σ, then ln(X) ~ Normal(μ, σ²).

The lognormal distribution naturally models quantities that arise from multiplicative processes: stock prices, income distributions, particle sizes, failure times, biological measurements, and file sizes. Its characteristic right skew means the mean exceeds the median, which exceeds the mode.

Enter the location parameter μ (log-scale mean) and scale parameter σ (log-scale standard deviation) to compute PDF, CDF, interval probabilities, a visual density curve, a detailed percentile table, and a properties reference card. Check the example with realistic values before reporting. Use the steps shown to verify rounding and units. Cross-check this output using a known reference case. Use the example pattern when troubleshooting unexpected results. Validate that outputs match your chosen standards. Run at least one manual sanity check before publishing.

Why Use This Lognormal Distribution Calculator?

The lognormal distribution appears in finance, biology, environmental science, reliability engineering, and everywhere positive, right-skewed data is found. This calculator provides all essential tools — PDF/CDF evaluation, percentiles, a density curve, and a complete properties table — without requiring log transformations by hand.

Essential for analysts, engineers, and students working with inherently positive, multiplicative data.

How to Use This Calculator

  1. Enter μ (mu, the mean of the natural log of X) and σ (sigma, the standard deviation of ln(X)).
  2. Enter x for point PDF and CDF calculations.
  3. Set x₁ and x₂ for interval probability P(x₁ ≤ X ≤ x₂).
  4. Review the density curve — the shaded region shows the interval probability.
  5. Examine the percentile table for key quantiles.
  6. Use presets to explore common applications.

Formula

PDF: f(x) = (1/(xσ√(2π))) exp(−(ln(x)−μ)²/(2σ²)). Mean = e^(μ+σ²/2). Median = e^μ. Mode = e^(μ−σ²). Variance = (e^(σ²)−1)e^(2μ+σ²).

Example Calculation

Result: P(X ≤ 1) = 0.5000 (50%), PDF f(1) = 0.3989

With μ = 0 and σ = 1, the median of the lognormal is e^0 = 1, so exactly 50% of the distribution lies below x = 1. The PDF at x = 1 peaks at 0.3989.

Tips & Best Practices

Multiplicative Central Limit Theorem

Just as the normal distribution emerges from sums of independent variables, the lognormal emerges from products. If X = Y₁ × Y₂ × ... × Yₙ where Yᵢ are positive independent variables, then ln(X) = ln(Y₁) + ... + ln(Yₙ), which by the CLT tends to normal. Hence X tends to lognormal.

Black-Scholes and Financial Modeling

The Black-Scholes option pricing model assumes stock prices follow geometric Brownian motion, making future prices lognormally distributed. The parameters μ (drift) and σ (volatility) determine expected returns and risk. Understanding lognormal percentiles is crucial for Value at Risk (VaR) calculations.

Environmental and Health Applications

Pollutant concentrations, bacterial colony counts, and particle size distributions often follow lognormal models. Environmental regulations frequently use geometric mean and geometric standard deviation rather than arithmetic ones, reflecting the underlying lognormal nature of the data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between μ/σ and the real mean/std dev?

μ and σ are parameters of the underlying normal distribution of ln(X). The actual mean of X is e^(μ+σ²/2), which is larger than e^μ (the median). Similarly, the actual std dev depends on both μ and σ in a complex way.

How do I estimate μ and σ from data?

Take the natural log of all data points, then compute the sample mean and sample standard deviation of the logged values. Those are your estimates of μ and σ.

Why is the lognormal used for income distributions?

Income results from multiplicative factors — education, experience, industry, etc. The central limit theorem for products leads to lognormal distributions, explaining the characteristic right skew of income data.

Can the lognormal distribution take negative values?

No, the lognormal is strictly positive (X > 0) since it's the exponential of a normal variable. This makes it appropriate for inherently positive quantities like prices, times, and sizes.

How does it compare to the normal distribution?

The normal is symmetric and can take any real value. The lognormal is right-skewed and strictly positive. If ln(X) is normal, then X is lognormal. For small σ, the lognormal approaches normality near its peak.

What is the geometric mean of a lognormal?

The geometric mean equals the median: e^μ. This makes the geometric mean a natural "typical value" for lognormal data, more representative than the arithmetic mean.

Related Pages