70% Rule Calculator for House Flipping

Calculate your maximum offer price using the 70% rule: Max Offer = ARV × 70% minus estimated rehab costs. Essential for evaluating flip deals.

About the 70% Rule Calculator for House Flipping

The 70% rule is the most widely used quick-screening formula in house flipping. It states that you should pay no more than 70% of a property's after-repair value (ARV) minus the estimated rehab costs. The remaining 30% covers your holding costs, selling costs, financing, and profit.

This calculator instantly computes your maximum allowable offer (MAO) for any deal. Enter the ARV and estimated rehab costs, and it shows you the ceiling price you should offer. Going above this number means you're eating into your profit margin or risking a loss if costs overrun or the property sells for less than expected.

While the 70% rule is a guideline — not an absolute law — it has proven remarkably effective as a first filter. Deals that pass the 70% test deserve deeper analysis; deals that fail it rarely work out. Some investors use 65% in expensive markets or 75% in markets with fast turnover.

Why Use This 70% Rule Calculator for House Flipping?

Analyzing every potential deal in detail is time-consuming. The 70% rule lets you screen dozens of properties in minutes, instantly eliminating deals that don't have enough margin. It's the flipper's equivalent of a quick back-of-napkin test before running a full analysis. Instant recalculation lets you compare scenarios side by side, so every buying, selling, or investment decision is grounded in solid financial analysis.

How to Use This Calculator

  1. Determine the after-repair value (ARV) using comparable sales.
  2. Estimate the total rehab/renovation cost.
  3. Enter both values into the calculator.
  4. Review the maximum allowable offer (MAO).
  5. If the seller's asking price is above the MAO, the deal likely doesn't work.
  6. Optionally adjust the percentage (65–75%) based on your market and risk tolerance.

Formula

Maximum Allowable Offer = ARV × Rule Percentage − Rehab Costs Built-in Margin = ARV × (1 − Rule Percentage) Implied Profit = ARV − MAO − Rehab Costs

Example Calculation

Result: Max offer = $165,000

ARV of $300,000 × 70% = $210,000. Subtract $45,000 in rehab costs and your maximum offer is $165,000. The 30% margin ($90,000) covers holding costs (~$15K), selling costs (~$24K), financing (~$8K), and leaves ~$43K profit.

Tips & Best Practices

Why the 70% Rule Works

The genius of the 70% rule is its simplicity. With just two inputs — ARV and rehab cost — you can evaluate any deal in seconds. The 30% margin has been validated over decades of flipping experience as roughly the amount needed to cover holding, selling, financing, and profit on a typical 4–6 month flip.

When to Adjust the Percentage

In markets where homes sell within 30 days and carrying costs are low, 75% can work because you'll spend less time (and money) holding the property. In luxury markets or slow-moving areas where flips take 9–12 months to sell, 65% or even 60% is more prudent. The key variable is your expected hold time — longer holds eat more margin.

Combining with Detailed Analysis

The 70% rule is a screening tool, not a replacement for full deal analysis. Use it to quickly filter your deal pipeline: if a property passes the 70% test, run the full fix-and-flip profit calculator to verify the numbers. If it fails the 70% test, move on unless you have a specific reason to believe your costs will be unusually low.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the 70% rule in house flipping?

The 70% rule states that you should pay no more than 70% of a property's after-repair value (ARV) minus the cost of repairs. It's a quick formula to determine the maximum price you should offer on a flip. The remaining 30% covers all your other costs and profit.

Is the 70% rule always accurate?

No, it's a guideline, not a guarantee. In markets with high carrying costs, slow sales, or expensive agent commissions, you may need the 65% rule. In hot markets with fast sales and low holding costs, 75% may work. Always follow up with a detailed profit analysis.

What does the 30% margin cover?

The 30% margin typically breaks down to approximately 8–10% for selling costs (agent commissions + closing), 5–7% for holding costs (mortgage, taxes, insurance, utilities), 3–5% for financing costs, and 10–15% for profit. Exact allocations vary by deal.

Can I use the 70% rule for rentals?

The 70% rule is designed for flips, not rentals. For rental property purchases, use metrics like cash-on-cash return, cap rate, and the 1% rule instead. Rental investors can pay more because they earn long-term income rather than needing a quick profit.

How does this relate to the MAO?

MAO stands for Maximum Allowable Offer. In house flipping, MAO is typically calculated using the 70% rule: MAO = ARV × 70% − Repair Costs. It's the highest price you should offer to maintain acceptable profit margins.

Should beginners use a stricter percentage?

Yes. New flippers should use 65% because they typically underestimate rehab costs and hold time. The extra 5% margin provides a buffer for the learning curve. As you gain experience and accuracy in estimating costs, you can move toward 70–75%.

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